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#ukraine

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In his article in the #Guardian, Paul Taylor succinctly brings all the strings together into a skein and concludes with a hope:

“All this suggests that a de-facto European security council is already at work trying to limit the damage from Trump’s geopolitical wrecking ball and prevent a security vacuum in Europe. However, reports that his administration is also considering vacating the top Nato military post of Supreme Allied Commander Europe, which has embodied the transatlantic security guarantee since 1951 (with Eisenhower in the role), suggest the transition may be sudden, unilateral and chaotic rather than gradual, consensual and negotiated.

That would be a true stress test of whether Europeans can handle their own security in an increasingly lawless world of predatory great powers.”

My thinking is that the #EU is a slumbering beast and like a sleeping dragon, will take its time waking up to find that half of its hoard has been lifted off in his slumbers. The idea that a selected group of #European countries might wake up earlier and reveal they are more effective outside the EU framework is both a boon (for the defence of Europe and #Ukraine) and a tragedy (as it may signal an impotent EU structure about to crumble). The fallout will be cathartic for Europe and the world IMO.